Data found in a new study suggests that climate change could lead to the death of over 500,000 people worldwide by 2050. In this article from the Washington Post, Chelsea Harvey reports that a team of scientists from the United Kingdom recently conducted a projection of the impact of climate change on food production and resulting food consumption using an independent variable group and a control group. The variable projection assumed heavy climate change, a 2 degree increase in air temperature compared to the air temperature from 1986 to 2005. Meanwhile, the control group assumed no climate change. Resulting data suggests that climate change could lead to a 4 percent decrease in fruit and vegetable consumption and a 0.7 percent decrease in meat consumption, both of these contributing to the aforementioned 500,000 deaths. I think Mark Hertsgaard put it well in his piece on climate change, "How to Feed the World After Climate Change", explaining how he truly wondered if his 7-year old daughter would be able to enjoy a birthday cake with her child someday due to climate change. The way we look at farming, particularly sustainable farming, needs to change more than ever at this time. Furthermore, according to the scientists, the deaths would be due to lack of adequate nutritional values and individuals being underweight in general. They break it down further by pointing to the fact that preventable deaths by way of lack of fruit and vegetable nutrients would be most commonly seen in wealthier countries. While the model also showed that climate change could actually result in a decrease in deaths in places like Central and South America. Perhaps this could be the case across the board... Now I know you are thinking, "how can he say that? a loss of crops being beneficial?", but, I feel as though the data is not concrete. This is simply a projection of what COULD happen and as we've discussed in class, we already produce far more food than we need (much goes to waste). At any cost, the article concludes by hammering home the point that it can no longer be avoided that even a modest temperature increase over the years could spell disaster for the crop yields we are currently accustomed to and overall human health.
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